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THE HINDU: A Smart rate cut in small
savings schemes
Without doubt, it is a very
unpopular course to pursue. Yet, the Bharatiya Janata Party-led government has
decided to act boldly and slash
interest rates on several Centrally sponsored savings schemes. The decision
will upset senior citizens, and the salaried middle class that forced the
government to reconsider its
decision to tax a portion of the Employees' Provident Fund (EPF) corpus upon withdrawal.
The government has also
decided to reset these rates every quarter. The objective is to align them with
market rates. It has not come all of a sudden: there were enough hints to
indicate that the government is not averse to shedding its populist mindset and
looking to deal with economic issues from a realistic perspective. For
instance, the government has
excluded people above an annual income threshold from availing of the subsidy
for LPG for household use. And
though the government finally abandoned the Budget 2016 proposal to tax EPF, it
was a clear indicator of things to come. Viewed in this context, there is a method
in the manner in which the government has set out to implement its economic
agenda. Its latest action on small savings could yet deliver the unkindest of
cuts to its core constituency, the middle class. For, the rate cut covers a
broad spectrum of schemes, including the Public Provident Fund (PPF), the Kisan
Vikas Patra (KVP) and the National Savings Certificates (NSC). Surprisingly,
the cut has also not spared schemes with a larger social intent, such as those
for girl children and senior citizens. However, the government has decided to
maintain the interest spread on such schemes. The rate cut is bound to emerge
as a fresh rallying point for the Opposition to corner the government. These
schemes have been a safe bet and offered assured returns for the salaried
sections. These are also useful instruments to foster the saving habit among
people. You cannot easily wish away the social security concerns thrown up by
the rate cut decision, and the government will have to politically defend the
cut.
Read in tandem
with the U.S. Federal Reserve decision last week to keep its interest rate
policy unchanged, the rate cut on the Centrally backed small savings schemes
must clear the way for the Reserve Bank of India to lower its policy rates.
Though the RBI had slashed its key policy rate by 125 basis points in 2015,
banks had been extraordinarily reluctant to pass on the full benefits to
borrowers. The deposit mobilisation efforts of the banks have faced unequal
competition from small savings schemes, which offer artificially fixed, higher
interest rates. That makes it difficult for banks to transmit fully the
benefits of rate cuts made by the RBI. The rate cuts on savings schemes
represent a necessary course correction to right the distortions in the system.
It will also inevitably usher in a competitive cost structure in the economy
for the greater public good. The cuts make good economic sense, and the
government should stand firm on it.
cor·pus
A collection of written texts, especially the entire works of a
particular author or a body of writing on a particular subject.
a·verse
Having a strong dislike of or opposition to something.
a·ban·don
Give up completely (a course of action, a practice, or a way of
thinking).
fos·ter
Encourage or promote the development of (something, typically
something regarded as good).
thrown up
to vomit:
I spent all night throwing up.
tan·dem
A bicycle with seats and pedals for two riders, one behind the
other.
slash
Cut (something) with a violent sweeping movement, typically
using a knife or sword.
re·luc·tant
Unwilling and hesitant; disinclined.
trans·mit
Cause (something) to pass on from one place or person to
another.
dis·tor·tion
The action of distorting or the state of being distorted.
in·ev·i·ta·bly
As is certain to happen; unavoidably.
ush·er
A person who shows people to their seats, especially in a
theater or at a wedding.
THE HINDU : The challenge in Jammu & Kashmir
Of late, political
uncertainty has hit some of India’s strategically significant border States —
Jammu and Kashmir, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Arunachal Pradesh. Of these,
J&K is undoubtedly the most sensitive State, where the Government of India
has bled physically and financially for over 25 years to stop the separatist
discourse and bring its people back to the political mainstream. But the demise of Chief Minister Mufti
Mohammad Sayeed in early January
culminated in a political crisis as the two coalition partners, the Peoples
Democratic Party and the Bharatiya Janata Party, fell out, with the former accusing the latter of not
abiding by the “Agenda of Alliance”, the goodwill treaty that had brought them
together. Last week, the hope of such a coalition government emerging was
renewed when Mehbooba Mufti, who is deemed a natural political successor to her
father, met BJP president Amit Shah in Delhi. The meeting only resulted in
further estrangement and left one big question: will the BJP be able to give Ms.
Mufti what she wants? So far, she has declared the Mufti’s decision to join
hands with the BJP an “unpopular” choice, but she has been vague when it comes
to explaining where the BJP has gone wrong with the Agenda of Alliance. The BJP
has not been forthright enough either. It is unclear what the party would or
would not seek to deliver under the Agenda. For the Centre, governing Jammu and
Kashmir has not been easy, not even in the post-insurgency era. Previous
governments led by the BJP or Congress, backed governments in the State by
making efforts to fill its budget deficits, fix its battered infrastructure and
skilfully tackle separatist elements.
The three
successive governments in post-insurgency Kashmir could only function when they
had the Centre’s backing. In the early 2000s, the decision of the Vajpayee
government to allow cross-LoC trade and travel, enter into bilateral engagement
with Pakistan, and talk to Kashmiri separatists on the side, not only increased
voter confidence but also brought the mainstream discourse back to the Valley.
A decade later, with the arrival
of the PDP-BJP coalition government, a similar approach was expected. But the
State seems to be vulnerable again, with the number of militant strikes
increasing and the absence of a civilian government furthering political
alenation. For the BJP, the need of the hour is to work out an alliance with
the PDP and scuttle any attempts to subvert Ms. Mufti within her party through
undemocratic means, such as horse-trading. It is equally important to cultivate
a strong mainstream leadership in the State by giving politicians like her the
space to bargain with the Centre within the constitutional framework.
Therefore, the BJP must not use the government at the Centre to make political
gains in Jammu and Kashmir. It should revisit the Agenda of Alliance and also
set the terms of the Agenda in concrete terms. If that does not work, it should
simply go for new elections. Any undemocratic attempt to break the deadlock
could have larger ramifications.
bleed
Lose blood from the body as a result of injury or illness.
cul·mi·nate
Reach a climax or point of highest development.
fell out
If a tooth or your hair falls out, it becomes loose and separates from your mouth or head:Her baby teeth are starting to fall out.
co·a·li·tion
An alliance for combined action, especially a temporary alliance
of political parties forming a government or of states.
es·trange·ment
The fact of no longer being on friendly terms or part of a
social group.
forth·right
(of a person or their manner or speech) direct and outspoken;
straightforward and honest.
bat·tered
Injured by repeated blows or punishment.
dead·lock
A situation, typically one involving opposing parties, in which
no progress can be made.
ram·i·fi·ca·tion
A consequence of an action or event, especially when complex or
unwelcome.
INDIAN EXPRESS: Not the unkindest
The stage has been set for the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) to slash interest rates by a minimum of 50 basis points (bps) in
its monetary policy review on April 5. Consumer price inflation, at 5.18 per
cent year-on-year in February, is low despite two consecutive droughts. This,
together with negative industrial production growth for a third straight month
in January, constitutes a strong macroeconomic argument for a policy rate cut
deeper than the usual 25 bps. It has been strengthened by the budget staying
the course on fiscal consolidation and not opting for “aggressive” spending
policies, in RBI governor Raghuram Rajan’s words, to artificially stimulate
growth. And with the US Federal Reserve clarifying last week that it is in no
hurry to raise interest rates (“the stance of monetary policy remains
accommodative”), there is no risk of low domestic rates triggering global fund
outflows.
But the strongest case was made by the finance ministry’s surprise
move, on Friday, to bring down interest rates on small savings schemes. These
cuts — from 60 bps on the public provident fund (PPF) to 130 bps on one-year
time deposits — should help address the issue of what the RBI calls effective
“transmission” of its monetary policy actions. Since January 2015, the RBI has
cumulatively lowered its benchmark repo lending rate by 125 bps, whereas banks
have not passed on even half of this to borrowers.
They argue that they cannot reduce lending rates without lowering
deposit rates — which is not possible if post office schemes give higher
returns. But that excuse no longer holds: Even the RBI cannot say now that
there is no point in cutting repo rates when “transmission” is weak. The
rationalisation of small savings rates — probably more significant than any
budget announcement — will encounter political opposition, especially from
those who read it as an attack on middle-class and low-income savers.
This argument is spurious at best. Savers require positive real
interest rates. They did not have it when CPI inflation was in double digits
and no administered savings scheme gave more than 9.5 per cent interest. But
today, CPI inflation is at 5.0-5.5 per cent and the PPF rate is at 8.1 per cent
— that too, tax-free — even after the latest rationalisation. The poor and
middle class stand to gain much more from the boost to overall economic
activity following from lower interest rates. The Modi government should stay
the course here as well.
de·spite
Without being affected by; in spite of.
consolidation
Combining into a solid mass
cumulatively
In a cumulative manner; "mind has become self-reproducing
through man's capacity to transmit experience and its products
cumulatively"
spu·ri·ous
Not being what it purports to be; false or fake.
BUSINES STANDARD: SYL row: Centre can't be a mute spectator
Under the radar, a
constitutional crisis is brewing in north-west India, and national parties or
the central government must step in to cool it down. The most egregious
instance of the breakdown of central authority came when the Punjab Assembly
chose to support Chief Minister Parkash Singh Badal's resolution that the state
would defy the Supreme Court of India if necessary, and "not abide by any
order against its interests". The Court is addressing a question over the
sharing of river water for the Sutlej-Yamuna Link (SYL) canal. Hundreds of
crores have already been spent on infrastructure for this canal, over decades -
Haryana, a beneficiary, has paid for a large proportion. The Supreme Court may
have stopped Punjab from returning land acquired decades ago for the canal to
the farmers from whom it has acquired - but the state has reportedly moved
ahead with the land return programme anyway, encouraging farmers to dump debris
into the half-built canal.
Outright defiance of the Supreme Court, if this is what is happening, is an extremely dangerous precedent. It reflects a fraught moment in the state's politics, when a government - an alliance between the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is facing a re-election test against not just the Congress but also the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). Under such circumstances, the political temptation to slip into soft-separatist patterns of behaviour must be great - but it should have been anticipated by the Centre and headed off. Indeed, the government at the Centre is also led by the BJP - so surely there must have been some feedback that this is what their state government in Punjab intended. If the feedback was not sent, then it is dangerously poor political management on the part of the BJP; if the feedback was ignored, then it is irresponsible governance. The Centre cannot afford to be a bystander just because the party in power believes there might be an electoral payoff to this defiance of lawful, constitutional authority. The BJP is after all also in power in Haryana. The Congress is also a national party, and the AAP has pretentions of being one. Both must act in the national interest as well and avoid making this an electoral issue.
Certainly, tensions between upper and lower riparian states will only grow in a time when more states are feeling the pinch of water pressure. If the legitimacy of the SYL canal can be bypassed so easily by Punjab, there are serious risks for several other such river-sharing agreements among other states in the country. The Centre, therefore, cannot allow the current developments around the SYL canal project to become an unhealthy precedent for other river-sharing agreements. Moreover, north-west India has been particularly profligate in its use of water. The crop mix of Punjab and Haryana is not suited to its natural climate. This has led to massive depletion of groundwater and a water crisis in the region. The Centre should have worked to anticipate this, and to wean the two states off water-intensive agriculture. This long-term plan has not been put into effect. But even worse, perhaps, are the long-term effects of allowing Punjab and Haryana - but especially Punjab, given its history of separatism - to slip into an anti-outsider and anti-Centre mentality. Such open challenges cannot be permitted and the Centre must act.
Outright defiance of the Supreme Court, if this is what is happening, is an extremely dangerous precedent. It reflects a fraught moment in the state's politics, when a government - an alliance between the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is facing a re-election test against not just the Congress but also the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). Under such circumstances, the political temptation to slip into soft-separatist patterns of behaviour must be great - but it should have been anticipated by the Centre and headed off. Indeed, the government at the Centre is also led by the BJP - so surely there must have been some feedback that this is what their state government in Punjab intended. If the feedback was not sent, then it is dangerously poor political management on the part of the BJP; if the feedback was ignored, then it is irresponsible governance. The Centre cannot afford to be a bystander just because the party in power believes there might be an electoral payoff to this defiance of lawful, constitutional authority. The BJP is after all also in power in Haryana. The Congress is also a national party, and the AAP has pretentions of being one. Both must act in the national interest as well and avoid making this an electoral issue.
Certainly, tensions between upper and lower riparian states will only grow in a time when more states are feeling the pinch of water pressure. If the legitimacy of the SYL canal can be bypassed so easily by Punjab, there are serious risks for several other such river-sharing agreements among other states in the country. The Centre, therefore, cannot allow the current developments around the SYL canal project to become an unhealthy precedent for other river-sharing agreements. Moreover, north-west India has been particularly profligate in its use of water. The crop mix of Punjab and Haryana is not suited to its natural climate. This has led to massive depletion of groundwater and a water crisis in the region. The Centre should have worked to anticipate this, and to wean the two states off water-intensive agriculture. This long-term plan has not been put into effect. But even worse, perhaps, are the long-term effects of allowing Punjab and Haryana - but especially Punjab, given its history of separatism - to slip into an anti-outsider and anti-Centre mentality. Such open challenges cannot be permitted and the Centre must act.
brew
Make (beer) by soaking, boiling, and fermentation.
e·gre·gious
Outstandingly bad; shocking.
de·fy
Openly resist or refuse to obey.
fraught
(of a situation or course of action) filled with or destined to
result in (something undesirable).
headed off
to start a journey or leave a place:
What time are you heading off?
by·stand·er
A person who is present at an event or incident but does not
take part.
pretentions
(pretention) Archaic spelling of pretension
ri·par·i·an
Of, relating to, or situated on the banks of a river.
pinch
Grip (something, typically someone's flesh) tightly and sharply
between finger and thumb.
prof·li·gate
Recklessly extravagant or wasteful in the use of resources.
de·ple·tion
Reduction in the number or quantity of something.
an·tic·i·pate
Regard as probable; expect or predict.
wean
Accustom (an infant or other young mammal) to food other than
its mother's milk.
The
dawn: Perception of democracy
CHIEF Justice of Pakistan Anwar Zaheer Jamali
appears to be growing into his job as the senior-most judge in the country.
That entails developing a judicial philosophy that implements the letter of the
Constitution and, for now, encouraging democratic institutional development.
On
that crucial latter issue, Chief Justice Jamali has indicated a deeper
understanding of what has ailed Pakistan over the decades.
Speaking
at a tribute to the late Hafeez Pirzada, one of the architects of the 1973
Constitution, Chief Justice Jamali suggested that the frequent impositions of
martial law had left a majority of the population unaware of the spirit of
democracy and that has contributed to lawlessness in the country.
In
a week in which retired Gen Pervez Musharraf left the country perhaps never to
return, Chief Justice Jamali’s comments are particularly poignant. While
electoral democracy is becoming the new norm in the country, is the country
really moving towards full-fledged democracy and rule of law?
Perhaps
it is worth reflecting on the past that Chief Justice Jamali referred to. The
several impositions of martial law — under Mr Musharraf the nomenclature was
changed, but the impact was the same — did not just interrupt democracy, it
made democracy seem optional.
The
damage caused by the perception that democracy is optional, that if the system
is not producing desirable results in the short term it ought to be replaced by
something else, has proved more long-lasting than the dictatorships themselves.
Its
effects can be seen everywhere. In Karachi, an operation that began with the
narrow purpose of fighting crime and militancy has morphed into an attack on
the political structure of the nation’s most populous city.
The
denizens of Karachi want peace and their party of choice, but peace and
democracy are being offered as mutually exclusive options.
At
the centre, eight years into a seemingly strong transition to democracy, the
sharing of power between the military and the civilians is tilting in the wrong
direction. In Fata, the military has absolute control.
Balochistan
is effectively one big no-go area. While the reasons vary, everywhere the
effect is the same: democracy may be desired, but it is seen as optional — by
elements of the state and sometimes by the people themselves.
Changing
that will require not just time, but purposeful effort by democratic elements.
An obvious path from the lawlessness that Chief Justice Jamali identified to
lawfulness would be fundamental reforms in the delivery of justice.
A
civilian-led effort — a joint effort by elected representatives and the
judiciary — to reform a broken judicial system would have far-reaching effects.
At
its core, Pakistan’s problem remains one of the rule of law — justice for all,
equally, timely and in a transparent manner.
The
rules must be fair, but they must be clear — and justice certain. That would
foster the public’s belief in the fundamentality of democracy and circumscribe
the actions of state institutions.
The
country’s elected representatives have made a great deal of progress by
internalising the need for democratic continuity and accepting the electorate’s
verdict. But a true national spirit of democracy will only come with the rule
of law.
en·tail
Involve (something) as a necessary or inevitable part or
consequence.
ail
Trouble or afflict (someone) in mind or body.
impositions
The Crown of England traditionally exercised the right to impose
import duties for the regulation of trade and the protection of domestic
industry. ..
poign·ant
Evoking a keen sense of sadness or regret
no·men·cla·ture
The devising or choosing of names for things, especially in a
science or other discipline.
morph
Change smoothly from one image to another by small gradual steps
using computer animation techniques.
den·i·zen
An inhabitant or occupant of a particular place.
tilt
Move or cause to move into a sloping position.
fos·ter
Encourage or promote the development of (something, typically
something regarded as good).
The DNA :How Putin’s Syria gamble has already paid off
Vladimir
Putin says he is withdrawing most Russian forces from Syria because his
“objectives” have been achieved. How to judge that boast? On such goals as
keeping the dictator Bashar al-Assad in power, increasing Russian influence in
the Middle East, restoring Moscow’s seat at the table of global power, and
sending a message of strength to Islamic extremists inside Russia’s own
borders, the jury is still out.
But it’s
not too early to consider Russian success on another front: showcasing military
strength to potential adversaries, allies and arms buyers. “Essentially, Russia
is using their incursion into Syria as an operational proving ground,” retired
Air Force general David Deptula told the New York Times last year. And Moscow
proved quite a bit.
The Russian
military had not been in a conflict of this scale since its disastrous pullout
from Afghanistan decades ago. The closest it came was the five-day border
fracas with Georgia in 2008, and while the campaign was a political success,
the Kremlin’s military was highly unimpressive against a weak opponent. Just
seven years later, the Russians have done a great deal to redeem themselves. In
what was primarily an air campaign, they showed a good ability to keep up the
tempo of sorties.
In
December, cruise missiles fired underwater by a super-stealthy Rostov-on-Don
submarine in the Mediterranean struck targets near Islamic State’s de facto
capital, Raqqa. Given that such sea-based missiles are vastly more expensive
than dropping bombs from planes, one can assume that the real aim was sending a
message to Washington.
Russia also
deployed some hardware that there was little reason to suppose would ever be
used: sending the missile cruiser Moskva off the coast of Syria and placing
advanced S-400 ground-to-air missile systems at the airbase near Latakia. This
impressive air-defence assemblage might have seemed a bit much given that the
Syrian rebels and Islamic State jihadists didn’t have a single plane, but the
real point was flexing muscles, and the US clearly took notice.
The Syria
campaign should do nothing to hamper Russia’s soaring arms sales, at 25% of the
global market as compared to America’s 33% over the last five years, despite
Ukraine-related sanctions. Moscow is rumoured to be locking its top client,
India, into $7 billion in purchases including S-400 air defences and three
Admiral Grigorovich-class frigates now under construction. The two nations have
long discussed a joint building operation of a next-generation fighter jet.
India’s mortal enemy, Pakistan, made its first-ever deal with Moscow for four
helicopters last summer, and more may be on the way, especially if a
Republican-led group in Congress continues to try to block fighter-jet sales to
Islamabad.
What most
concerns the US and its Middle Eastern allies, though, is Moscow’s courtship of
Iran. After the signing of the nuclear-weapons deal last summer, Russia agreed
to make good on a long-promised sale of an advanced air-defence system to
Tehran, and discussed possible sales of multi-role Su-30 aircraft and Russia’s
main battle tank. Republicans in Congress are pressuring the Barack Obama
administration to block any such sales using United Nations sanctions, but in
the long run there’s little doubt that Moscow and Tehran will strengthen ties
over weapons deals — another Putin objective furthered by his risky decision to
make Assad’s war his own
with·draw
Remove or take away (something) from a particular place or
position.
ad·ver·sar·y
One's opponent in a contest, conflict, or dispute.
in·cur·sion
An invasion or attack, especially a sudden or brief one.
dis·as·trous
Causing great damage.
pull·out
A section of a magazine or newspaper that is designed to be
detached and kept for rereading.
fra·cas
A noisy disturbance or quarrel.
re·deem
Compensate for the faults or bad aspects of (something).
ham·per
Hinder or impede the movement or progress of.
ru·mor
Be circulated as an unverified account.
frig·ate
A warship with a mixed armament, generally heavier than a
destroyer (in the US Navy) and of a kind originally introduced for convoy
escort work.
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